Will Trump say "Stupid people" this week? (December 15 - 21)

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 54.4pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

• No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.