The market moved

-36.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Surplus" during Wisconsin events?

Politics · resolves Jun 6 · vol $236.63

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.0pp shift. Resolution depends on weau.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: weau.com — https://www.weau.com/2026/06/01/president-trump-coming-chippewa-county-friday-source-says/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.