The market moved

-29.3ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Taiwan" during NBC interview?

Geopolitics · resolves Dec 8 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 29.3pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.