The market moved
+40.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "tariff" 3 or more times during NBC interview?
Politics · resolves Dec 8 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 40.9pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.