The market moved
-11.0ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will Trump say “Thousand” or “Million” or “Billion” 5+ times during UFC 250?
Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $147.32
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the entirety of the ufc freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 8.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.