The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?

Politics · resolves Jul 28 · vol $6.3K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 23¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wng.org — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wng.org — https://wng.org/sift/graham-funeral-1784738206).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.