The market moved

+26.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Trans" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?

Politics · resolves Oct 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 26.5pp shift. Resolution depends on event.donaldjtrump.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: event.donaldjtrump.com — https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-atlanta-georgia).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.