The market moved

+7.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Politics · resolves Dec 9 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/WVIATVFM/status/1996616358092554647).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.