The market moved
+9.5ppin 24h · now 47¢
Will Trump say "Trump" during Friday roundtable?
Politics · resolves Aug 7 · vol $365.83
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 47¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/ErnestScheyder/status/2084315810361733183).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.