The market moved

+10.5ppin 24h · now 56¢

Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250?

Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $39.28

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the entirety of the ufc freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 13.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.