The market moved
+78.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?
Politics · resolves Jan 27 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 78.5pp shift. Resolution depends on desmoinesregister.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: desmoinesregister.com — https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.