The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 79¢
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?
Politics · resolves Aug 5 · vol $724.85
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 79¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on forth.news — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: forth.news — https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.