The market moved
+46.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?
Politics · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 46.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://time.com/article/2026/04/01/king-charles-camilla-royal-state-visit-washington-america-trump/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.