The market moved
+55.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
Politics · resolves Aug 14 · vol $2.9K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 55.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.