The market moved

+28.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump shake hands with Guy Parmelin at the World Economic Forum?

Politics · resolves Jan 23 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 28.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the named individuals who shake trump's hand between market creation and january 23, 2026, 11:59pm et in davos, switz — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the named individuals who shake Trump's hand between market creation and January 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET in Davos, Switz.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.