The market moved

-7.0ppin 24h · now 18¢

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?

Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $10.20

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-7.0pp · Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May? | Orrery