The market moved
-4.7ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump tweet 120-129 times Nov 1-8?
Politics · resolves Nov 8 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.7pp shift. Resolution depends on post counter — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Post Counter — https://www.xtracker.io/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.