The market moved
+36.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump tweet less than 3 times Dec 6-13?
Politics · resolves Dec 13 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 36.5pp shift. Resolution depends on post counter — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Post Counter — https://www.xtracker.io/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.