Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://2017-2021.state.gov/on-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-the-paris-agreement/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.