The market moved
-0.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.9% on February 14?
Politics · resolves Feb 14 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to fivethirtyeight's approval rating for donald trump on february 14, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025 — https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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