The market moved
-3.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.5% on February 28?
Politics · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to fivethirtyeight's approval rating for donald trump on february 28, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025 — https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.