The market moved

-3.2ppin 24h · now

Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 29?

Politics · resolves Aug 29 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on august 29, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 29, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.