The market moved
-7.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?
Politics · resolves Jul 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on july 4, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 4, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.