The market moved
+2.3ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?
Politics · resolves May 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on may 23, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 23, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.