Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on August 21, 2026?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on august 21, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.