The market moved
-8.8ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 26 · vol $513.27
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on june 26, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 42.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.