The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 22 · vol $22.51
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on may 22, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 22, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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