The market moved
-9.0ppin 24h · now 30¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 19, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 19 · vol $319.70
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on june 19, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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