The market moved
+23.0ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 10 · vol $678.55
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 23.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on july 10, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.