The market moved

-69.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?

Politics · resolves Dec 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 69.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on december 12, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 12, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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