The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on May 16?

Politics · resolves May 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on may 16, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 16, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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