The market moved
+2.6ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?
Politics · resolves Apr 11 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.6pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on april 11, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 11, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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