The market moved
+20.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48% and 50% on January 31?
Politics · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to donald trump’s approval rating as reported by realcelarpolitics (rcp) as of january 31, 2025, 12:00 pm et (noon) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon) — https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.