Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 16, 2026?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on january 16, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on January 16, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.