The market moved
-0.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 2?
Politics · resolves May 2 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on may 2, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 2, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.