The market moved
-4.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?
Politics · resolves Mar 14 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on march 14, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 14, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.