Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on silver bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between april 8 and april 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.