The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $8.33
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on silver bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between january 1 and december 31, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.