Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2025?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.7pp shift. Resolution depends on silver bulletin, is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between december 11 and december 31, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Silver Bulletin, is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between December 11 and December 31, 2025 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.