The market moved

-10.9ppin 24h · now

Will Trump's inaugural address be 1,800-2,000 words?

Politics · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.9pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.