The market moved
+64.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?
Politics · resolves Mar 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 64.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of the speech — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of the speech.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.