Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 28.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.