The market moved

-11.5ppin 24h · now

Will Trump's UN speech be between 30 and 35 minutes?

Politics · resolves Sep 23 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of his speech at the event — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of his speech at the event — https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-to-address-80th-un-general-assembly-on-sept-23-white-house/articleshow/123575271.cms.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.