Will Trump's UN speech be between 40 and 45 minutes?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of his speech at the event — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of his speech at the event — https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-to-address-80th-un-general-assembly-on-sept-23-white-house/articleshow/123575271.cms.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.