The market moved
+8.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump's UN speech be longer than 45 minutes?
Politics · resolves Sep 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the length of his speech at the event — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the length of his speech at the event — https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-to-address-80th-un-general-assembly-on-sept-23-white-house/articleshow/123575271.cms.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.