Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 59.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first-round turnout percentage, calculated as “total votación” divided by “total inscritos — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the first-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votación” divided by “Total inscritos — https://www.servel.cl/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.