The market moved

-14.0ppin 24h · now

Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 88% and 90%?

Politics · resolves Nov 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first-round turnout percentage, calculated as “total votación” divided by “total inscritos — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the first-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votación” divided by “Total inscritos — https://www.servel.cl/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.