Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the turnout percentage (% total asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attende — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attende — https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.