The market moved
-0.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 90%?
Politics · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated as “total votación” divided by “total inscritos — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votación” divided by “Total inscritos — https://www.servel.cl/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.