The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 39¢

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?

Politics · resolves Jun 7 · vol $192.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the turnout percentage (% total asistentes) in the second round peru presidential election, calculated by dividing at — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing at — https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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